Bitcoin’s production cost has dropped to around $13,000, according to JPMorgan analysts, does that mean the price of the coin will follow suit?
According to a report by JPMorgan strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Bitcoin’s average production cost in early June was $24,000, then dropped to $15,000 by the end of the month and was $13,000 as of Wednesday.
In general, the cost of a miner to produce bitcoin can be derived from its electricity bill, since 95% of a miner’s operating cost is electricity consumption. Therefore, miners need bitcoins at a certain price so that they earn more bitcoin revenue than their electricity bills.
The JPMorgan report cited data from the Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI), which pointed out that the decline in Bitcoin production costs is due to the reduction in electricity consumption, and miners are working hard to deploy a new generation of equipment that is faster and more energy efficient. Only in this way can we ensure that the profitability of our own mines is not hindered.
JPMorgan Chase said that while miners will help ease the sell-off after increasing their profitability, falling production costs could also be a major obstacle to higher bitcoin prices.
Some market participants believe that Bitcoin’s minimum price is determined by the break-even price of Bitcoin’s production costs, that is, the lower end of Bitcoin’s price range in a bear market.
Others, however, argue that this statement is inaccurate, as for most physical commodities, supply is primarily determined by production and consumption demand, but speculation has led cryptocurrency investors to base their decisions on future price expectations Decision-making, rather than the current supply and demand curve, so simple calculation of mining costs can hardly provide insight into the market, and the decisive factor affecting the price of the currency should be that miners stop mining and adjust the difficulty of mining.
Post time: Sep-07-2022